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- How Being Cool Is Making The Hague a Vacation Hot Spot
Looking for respite from European heat waves, summer tourists are flocking to the diplomatic hub. But city leaders are wary of overcrowding. [TheTopNews] Read More.4 days ago - 5 Great American Bike Rides of 25 Miles or LessWhether you’re looking for a soothing seaside cruise or a blood-pumping Rocky Mountain ascent, these rides are perfect for a spectacular day trip. [TheTopNews] Read More.4 days ago
- Inside Health
Plus, how much do people really change their habits for a free coffee? [TheTopNews] Read More.4 days ago - The Case for Lesser-Known Colleges
The relentless attacks on higher education from Donald Trump’s administration notwithstanding, many high school graduates of the class of 2026 are headed to college this fall. By now, most students have decided where they’ll attend. In some circles, given the frantic competitiveness of both students and parents to land coveted spots at our nation’s most elite institutions, more than a few students are disappointed not to be granted acceptance at their dream school. Rejection always hurts. It can sting like a hornet. Many people internalize rejection, assuming that they are less than capable. Most adults can recall a moment(s) where they encountered negations that seemed cataclysmic. Thus, it’s totally rational for parents to want to protect their children from feelings of inadequacy or from being deprived of the acceptance letter they wanted. Reading the words “we regret to inform you that we are unable to” can conjure sadness, anger, or despair. It shouldn’t. First, admission to more selective institutions has become dramatically more intense. Augmenting academic standards, ever-rising tuition costs, drastic cuts in state funding for higher education, and increasingly abrasive attacks coupled with fiercely acerbic debates about the value (or lack) of a college education have steadily increased in various segments of our society. Pockets of dissension aside, we should congratulate those young men and women who hit the jackpot, so to speak. Hopefully, their academic journey will be happy, fruitful, and productive. For those not as fortunate, it is not the end of the world, and this is where parents and adults need to intervene and reassure them that high-prestige schools don’t always deliver. Lesser-known ones can provide a great education at a reasonable cost, something the Washington Monthly has been touting for two decades in its annual College Guide. Indeed, the fact is that: There is no one pathway to success; a student’s first-choice school may not necessarily be the best one for them; Many successful people often fail along the way; and Things tend to have a way of working out. There are several reasons a particular admissions committee/institution denied a student admission. Their SAT or ACT scores were strong but not exceptional (trust me, test scores will not predict your future success), or their transcript was solid but not outstanding. Working in an admissions office as a graduate student (not an actual admissions officer) in my… [TheTopNews] Read More.4 days ago - Internal Polls Flopped in Michigan and Hawaii. How Will They Do in Minnesota and...
In a mid-July column, I detailed how internal polls, combined with scarce independent polling, warped perceptions of Graham Platner’s electoral resilience in Maine’s Senate race before he bowed out. I further raised an eyebrow at the flurry of internal polls showing fat leads for Abdul El-Sayed over Representative Haley Stevens in Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary, when other springtime polls depicted a much closer race. Prompted in part by the internal polls, the former Wayne County health department chief and left-wing insurgent was crowned the frontrunner by mainstream media outlets. Several independent polls very late in the campaign echoed El-Sayed’s internals, firming up the media narrative. Two days before Election Day, a rumor shot through the X social media platform that Stevens’ own pollster told the candidate she was down 14 points and had “no path to victory.” The pollster denied it, but the rumor further fed a perception that the cake was baked. Yet my earlier skepticism proved warranted. El-Sayed beat Stevens, but by a single percentage point, not the double digits forecast by the surveys affiliated with his campaign. The colossal miss raises the question of whether El-Sayed’s internal poll flex led to a case of “herding,” the polling phenomenon once described by Nate Silver as “file-drawering (not publishing) results that don’t match the consensus or torturing their turnout models until they do.” Following the surprise Michigan result, The New York Times noted the challenge for pollsters to anticipate the demographic mix of primary election turnout: “Conducting surveys in partisan primaries has long presented a challenge to pollsters, as it requires them to make assumptions about who will actually turn out to vote. Without mandatory party registration in Michigan, pollsters must guess who will show up on Election Day.” Fearful of becoming an embarrassing outlier, “independent” pollsters had an incentive to make like-minded guesses. One pollster who worked for a pro-El-Sayed political action committee, Zenith Research’s Adam Carlson, published a post-mortem in which he acknowledged his turnout model “undershot” demographic groups favorable to Stevens: senior, low-income, and rural voters. One possible explanation Carlson offered is that his company uses “text-to-web” technology to reach out to potential respondents, as opposed to more expensive “live calling,” which may have tilted the respondent pool towards younger votes more partial to El-Sayed. Less noticed over the weekend was Hawaii’s First Congressional District Democratic primary, which pitted moderate incumbent Ed Case… [TheTopNews] Read More.4 days ago
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Looking for respite from European heat waves, summer tourists are flocking to the diplomatic hub. But city leaders are wary of overcrowding. [TheTopNews] Read More.
4 days ago
Whether you’re looking for a soothing seaside cruise or a blood-pumping Rocky Mountain ascent, these rides are perfect for a spectacular day trip. [TheTopNews] Read More.
4 days ago
Plus, how much do people really change their habits for a free coffee? [TheTopNews] Read More.
4 days ago
The relentless attacks on higher education from Donald Trump’s administration notwithstanding, many high school graduates of the class of 2026 are headed to college this fall. By now, most students have decided where they’ll attend. In some circles, given the frantic competitiveness of both students and parents to land coveted spots at our nation’s most elite institutions, more than a few students are disappointed not to be granted acceptance at their dream school. Rejection always hurts. It can sting like a hornet. Many people internalize rejection, assuming that they are less than capable. Most adults can recall a moment(s) where they encountered negations that seemed cataclysmic. Thus, it’s totally rational for parents to want to protect their children from feelings of inadequacy or from being deprived of the acceptance letter they wanted. Reading the words “we regret to inform you that we are unable to” can conjure sadness, anger, or despair. It shouldn’t. First, admission to more selective institutions has become dramatically more intense. Augmenting academic standards, ever-rising tuition costs, drastic cuts in state funding for higher education, and increasingly abrasive attacks coupled with fiercely acerbic debates about the value (or lack) of a college education have steadily increased in various segments of our society. Pockets of dissension aside, we should congratulate those young men and women who hit the jackpot, so to speak. Hopefully, their academic journey will be happy, fruitful, and productive. For those not as fortunate, it is not the end of the world, and this is where parents and adults need to intervene and reassure them that high-prestige schools don’t always deliver. Lesser-known ones can provide a great education at a reasonable cost, something the Washington Monthly has been touting for two decades in its annual College Guide. Indeed, the fact is that: There is no one pathway to success; a student’s first-choice school may not necessarily be the best one for them; Many successful people often fail along the way; and Things tend to have a way of working out. There are several reasons a particular admissions committee/institution denied a student admission. Their SAT or ACT scores were strong but not exceptional (trust me, test scores will not predict your future success), or their transcript was solid but not outstanding. Working in an admissions office as a graduate student (not an actual admissions officer) in my… [TheTopNews] Read More.
4 days ago
In a mid-July column, I detailed how internal polls, combined with scarce independent polling, warped perceptions of Graham Platner’s electoral resilience in Maine’s Senate race before he bowed out. I further raised an eyebrow at the flurry of internal polls showing fat leads for Abdul El-Sayed over Representative Haley Stevens in Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary, when other springtime polls depicted a much closer race. Prompted in part by the internal polls, the former Wayne County health department chief and left-wing insurgent was crowned the frontrunner by mainstream media outlets. Several independent polls very late in the campaign echoed El-Sayed’s internals, firming up the media narrative. Two days before Election Day, a rumor shot through the X social media platform that Stevens’ own pollster told the candidate she was down 14 points and had “no path to victory.” The pollster denied it, but the rumor further fed a perception that the cake was baked. Yet my earlier skepticism proved warranted. El-Sayed beat Stevens, but by a single percentage point, not the double digits forecast by the surveys affiliated with his campaign. The colossal miss raises the question of whether El-Sayed’s internal poll flex led to a case of “herding,” the polling phenomenon once described by Nate Silver as “file-drawering (not publishing) results that don’t match the consensus or torturing their turnout models until they do.” Following the surprise Michigan result, The New York Times noted the challenge for pollsters to anticipate the demographic mix of primary election turnout: “Conducting surveys in partisan primaries has long presented a challenge to pollsters, as it requires them to make assumptions about who will actually turn out to vote. Without mandatory party registration in Michigan, pollsters must guess who will show up on Election Day.” Fearful of becoming an embarrassing outlier, “independent” pollsters had an incentive to make like-minded guesses. One pollster who worked for a pro-El-Sayed political action committee, Zenith Research’s Adam Carlson, published a post-mortem in which he acknowledged his turnout model “undershot” demographic groups favorable to Stevens: senior, low-income, and rural voters. One possible explanation Carlson offered is that his company uses “text-to-web” technology to reach out to potential respondents, as opposed to more expensive “live calling,” which may have tilted the respondent pool towards younger votes more partial to El-Sayed. Less noticed over the weekend was Hawaii’s First Congressional District Democratic primary, which pitted moderate incumbent Ed Case… [TheTopNews] Read More.
4 days ago
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